0xRaph
0x68c356cdf394e11e845f0569654e97f05347cb75
- Realised P&L
- $-266.18
- Volume
- $114.3k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $391.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No | 0.850 | 0.815 | $145.05 | −$6.25 |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.830 | 0.860 | $89.29 | +$3.11 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No | 0.881 | 0.953 | $73.44 | +$5.55 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.120 | $66.93 | −$137.70 |
| Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.930 | 0.950 | $14.25 | +$0.30 |
| Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.790 | 0.720 | $2.59 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.03at 0.850Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$194.70at 0.673Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$172.38at 0.243Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$165.62at 0.883MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$80.10at 0.730Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 20:03 | Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $35.13 |
| 05-01 20:16 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | SELL | 0.77 | $154.00 |
| 05-01 19:28 | Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7087070707 | $87.70 |
| 04-29 13:42 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $270.00 |
| 04-25 16:47 | Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3548201955 | $141.92 |
| 04-11 09:37 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.0325654455 | $20.67 |
| 04-10 14:32 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3668955069 | $204.63 |
| 04-10 14:32 | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.7911286333 | $237.34 |
| 04-10 13:15 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 04-10 13:15 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $13.83 |
| 04-10 05:56 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.0041766784 | $1.25 |
| 04-10 05:45 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.81 |
| 04-09 15:15 | Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.16 |
| 04-09 13:07 | Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | SELL | 0.5970710021 | $594.95 |
| 04-09 12:55 | Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | BUY | 0.7635 | $376.33 |