HWJr
0x68a39ca987a481c50ece687b99af2fbf88a35dd5
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $124.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,348
- Open portfolio
- $883.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,348
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$651.38at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?
- +$511.80at 0.102Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?
- +$393.44at 0.385Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?
- +$309.33at 0.315Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?
- +$294.20at 0.447Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.22 |
| 08-04 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.04215625 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0406800176 | $1.85 |
| 08-04 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.041 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.21 |
| 08-04 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.18 |
| 08-04 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.65 |
| 08-04 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.81 |
| 08-04 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-04 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.039 | $2.04 |
| 08-04 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-04 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.68 |
| 08-04 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.00 |