EFEFENIX
0x6815afc57bdc37108c13c6b3ccfebc0069e07e57
- Realised P&L
- $-201.92
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 456
- Open portfolio
- $39.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded456
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.965 | $37.34 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.050 | $0.68 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.030 | $0.38 | −$0.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.010 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.006 | $0.21 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.015 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.010 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.57at 0.192Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
- +$32.59at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
- +$19.01at 0.835Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$18.27at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
- +$14.94at 0.923Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.58 |
| 08-04 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $23.70 |
| 08-04 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.997 | $37.39 |
| 08-04 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-04 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.997 | $35.89 |
| 08-04 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $34.92 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.996859589 | $34.93 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9417360163 | $33.00 |
| 08-04 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0631198693 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0537056928 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0834414249 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |