relaydye
0x6799bfc4d81083c79e6611222de9f2e5966687cb
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $245.2k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.8kat 0.630Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$651.28at 0.908Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
- +$166.18at 0.601Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$124.54at 0.509Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$118.80at 0.170Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6174999947 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 18:08 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999987 | $150.00 |
| 07-15 19:28 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5374999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 19:27 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.3575 | $49.31 |
| 07-15 19:01 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3624999966 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 19:03 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5549999944 | $40.00 |
| 07-06 01:43 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.1289999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 00:56 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999946 | $30.00 |
| 06-29 21:51 | Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | SELL | 0.34 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 21:19 | Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999855 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 21:19 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4199999922 | $15.00 |
| 06-28 20:17 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.1699999908 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 21:44 | Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.187 | $9.54 |
| 06-23 18:24 | Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.279 | $13.95 |
| 06-23 17:19 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.0059999988 | $5.00 |