PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

relaydye

0x6799bfc4d81083c79e6611222de9f2e5966687cb

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$245.2k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5300.395$1.2k$404.99
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$909.96
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$59.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$15.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$8.10
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5550.000$0.00$40.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5? · No0.2710.000$0.00$276.06
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$8.80
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$6.80
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$8.70
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$8.00
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22? · Yes0.3970.000$0.00$1.2k
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$15.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? · No0.0060.000$0.00$10.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:11Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6174999947$100.00
07-19 18:08Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999987$150.00
07-15 19:28England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5374999997$50.00
07-15 19:27Will England win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.3575$49.31
07-15 19:01Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3624999966$50.00
07-14 19:03France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5549999944$40.00
07-06 01:43Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1289999902$10.00
07-06 00:56Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999946$30.00
06-29 21:51Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?SELL0.34$15.00
06-29 21:19Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.3399999855$15.00
06-29 21:19Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4199999922$15.00
06-28 20:17Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.1699999908$15.00
06-25 21:44Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?BUY0.187$9.54
06-23 18:24Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.279$13.95
06-23 17:19Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.0059999988$5.00