zyf5781
0x6711843d55343b3e7feaa70aa018921551324907
- Realised P&L
- $-27.37
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $45.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.10at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$30.01at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?
- +$27.54at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?
- +$16.58at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?
- +$16.52at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-04 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0361666667 | $0.35 |
| 08-04 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 08-04 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-04 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |