babtuh
0x6696d11cbbcc7e9b7b3b874bd6ccb16b191a43eb
- Realised P&L
- $-90.55
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $9.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.103 | $3.95 | −$1.05 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.135 | $2.93 | −$2.07 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.095 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026? · No | 0.168 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Vance say "America" 20+ times during Air Force Academy Address? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Vance say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during Air Force Academy Address? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Down | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.62at 0.309Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$16.65at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$10.99at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
- +$9.22at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
- +$8.52at 0.540Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 21:18 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1679998871 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 18:55 | Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | BUY | 0.1308598051 | $5.00 |
| 05-27 17:08 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 19:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $1.09 |
| 05-26 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 18:56 | Will Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 18:56 | Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 18:55 | Will Vance say "War" 7+ times during Air Force Academy Address? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 18:54 | Will Vance say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during Air Force Academy Address? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 18:54 | Will Vance say "America" 20+ times during Air Force Academy Address? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 18:52 | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 20:56 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 15:29 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 15:28 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 15:27 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.052 | $7.12 |