0x6685e0465d7dAf26a3B0B9BAf05fb481B29A0622-1771828133524
0x6685e0465d7daf26a3b0b9baf05fb481b29a0622
- Realised P&L
- $192.25
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $67.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$405.37at 0.491Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?
- +$358.52at 0.582Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?
- +$334.82at 0.629Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4AM ET
- +$242.44at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET
- +$212.68at 0.560Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 04:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19? | SELL | 0.06 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 08:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 08:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 07:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 06:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.5938239047 | $27.92 |
| 07-10 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 07:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $250.00 |
| 07-06 07:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $250.00 |
| 07-06 06:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 06:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |