0x6672EB9e547eF06E6c33ADaA62aFe0DCD71447e4-1785131207874
0x6672eb9e547ef06e6c33adaa62afe0dcd71447e4
- Realised P&L
- $91.30
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $56.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.24at 0.356Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 28?
- +$32.91at 0.429Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 30?
- +$28.20at 0.337Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 1?
- +$10.18at 0.832Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 28?
- +$8.94at 0.762Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.78 |
| 08-04 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5199999211 | $2.11 |
| 08-04 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.17 |
| 08-04 22:44 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.90 |
| 08-04 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.47 |
| 08-04 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8399999885 | $2.91 |
| 08-04 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7899999827 | $7.30 |
| 08-04 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.75 | $11.02 |
| 08-04 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 08-04 19:12 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.63 |
| 08-04 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.90 |
| 08-04 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5199999534 | $2.23 |
| 08-04 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.86 |
| 08-04 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.49 |
| 08-04 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8399999802 | $3.39 |