7930
0x666a6ca8e188a0082d1d1361d98c59bf9e7b450b
- Realised P&L
- $-10.72
- Volume
- $106.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $91.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.005 | $85.45 | −$38.83 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.17 | +$0.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in July? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.17 | +$0.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.17 | +$0.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in July? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.17 | +$0.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.17 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.55at 0.986Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
- +$0.18at 0.601Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$0.07at 0.995Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
- +$0.05at 0.997Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 11:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.17 |
| 07-03 11:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 07-03 11:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 07-03 11:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.17 |
| 07-03 11:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.17 |
| 05-08 06:18 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.49 |
| 05-08 06:14 | Will gpt-5.5-high have the best AI model on May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.998999667 | $1.50 |
| 05-08 06:11 | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | BUY | 0.9979994611 | $1.10 |
| 05-08 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.13 |
| 03-27 07:35 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $97.50 |
| 03-27 07:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.66 |
| 03-27 07:29 | Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 07:29 | Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 07:29 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.991999416 | $1.06 |
| 12-29 13:49 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $106.00 |