uknownuser
0x64f74a45618d24c128d994e99c49b8fc19a6d00a
- Realised P&L
- $-279.53
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $30.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)7.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $19.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.555 | $10.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.89at 0.450Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
- +$-0.06at 0.490Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5
- +$-0.56at 0.032Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
- +$-2.03at 0.610Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?
- +$-3.04at 0.119Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 18:37 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.26 |
| 01-22 18:37 | Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.95 |
| 01-19 20:47 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.0139535919 | $0.44 |
| 01-16 21:24 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.0117356228 | $0.43 |
| 01-16 21:24 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.65 |
| 01-15 17:34 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.51 |
| 01-15 17:34 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.40 |
| 01-15 17:34 | Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0119729314 | $2.18 |
| 01-14 23:20 | Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2734267726 | $49.80 |
| 01-14 22:52 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6263597829 | $51.62 |
| 01-14 22:52 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4453839809 | $48.00 |
| 01-14 18:50 | Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.529999996 | $39.84 |
| 01-14 15:27 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999923 | $26.86 |