PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

.gu5.

0x641381b761c7cdd968c9415abbfae5730238556e

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$126.9k
Markets traded
377
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded377
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.545$763.62+$63.05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.455$637.52$63.05
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.2910.114$68.53$107.00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.115$61.86$104.89
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0600.035$31.96$22.83
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8100.886$31.03+$2.68
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.3620.285$25.18$6.82
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.021$16.88$0.52
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0230.017$6.52$2.57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$35.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$8.33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$48.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.0170.000$0.00$19.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$37.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 02:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
07-14 20:49Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.93$233.15
07-14 20:46Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.16$406.50
07-14 19:28Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?BUY0.91$914.11
07-14 19:12Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?BUY0.9$546.17
07-07 01:30Is Earth flat?SELL0.98$247.95
07-07 01:30Is Earth flat?SELL0.981$196.20
07-07 00:59United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.4899999996$250.00
07-07 00:50Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSELL0.68$0.05
07-07 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.5032808156$336.68
07-07 00:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.01$10.00
07-07 00:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.06$9.00
07-03 02:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSELL0.5$109.50
07-03 02:17Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.81$28.35
07-03 02:14Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.2907209591$187.76