TobbenB3
0x6406b3045ada81758881fe3f738ddf2e70081e0b
- Realised P&L
- $-297.60
- Volume
- $32.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $238.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.025 | $94.22 | −$5.78 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.013 | $62.52 | −$37.48 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.007 | $53.57 | −$46.42 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.004 | $28.12 | −$71.88 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Norway win the World Cup? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.43 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Sonia Sotomayor attend the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.01at 0.022Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 05:54 | Will Norway win the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0619373485 | $49.43 |
| 07-11 05:48 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 05:45 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0220860044 | $102.01 |
| 02-24 08:25 | Will Sonia Sotomayor attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 02-23 12:46 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.016 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 12:46 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0199934022 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 12:45 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0216515703 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 12:45 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 12:44 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0269572695 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 20:38 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3529999958 | $35.00 |