Prairie996
0x63ab7ff6a70d4b6f92a62d76788a3c1bb32c1847
- Realised P&L
- $108.99
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,040
- Open portfolio
- $259.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,040
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.31at 0.793Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$2.24at 0.860Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$2.08at 0.870Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$1.89at 0.910Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
- +$1.89at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.91 | $19.11 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |
| 08-03 23:11 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.95 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.962 | $19.24 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 08-03 21:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $14.25 |