Conver
0x62fbc61a627e96686815600ebf9ff2946a593df1
- Realised P&L
- $-165.99
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 705
- Open portfolio
- $0.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded705
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.005 | $0.30 | −$16.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 16? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15? · No | 0.984 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 16? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 16? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.82at 0.160Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale?
- +$4.18at 0.426Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?
- +$1.68at 0.560Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?
- +$1.62at 0.575Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 3?
- +$1.34at 0.450Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 20:28 | Will Lisa Nandy be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.1112795276 | $11.31 |
| 07-13 20:28 | Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.32 |
| 07-13 07:03 | Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? | SELL | 0.39 | $19.77 |
| 07-12 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12? | SELL | 0.81 | $15.03 |
| 07-12 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12? | SELL | 0.21 | $10.48 |
| 07-10 18:35 | Will Haley Thogmartin come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.013888447 | $0.73 |
| 07-10 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10? | SELL | 0.43 | $7.22 |
| 07-10 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10? | SELL | 0.44 | $10.81 |
| 07-10 12:16 | Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $9.90 |
| 07-09 23:17 | Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.47 |
| 07-09 23:16 | Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.10 |
| 07-09 23:14 | Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 07-09 20:50 | Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 07-09 20:20 | Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-09 19:49 | Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.86 | $20.47 |