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Traders

ArdillarRabiossa

0x6293cbc9f79b2d1573eaffc7afbe2a4e6b47d14d

Realised P&L
$-138.02
Volume
$87.9k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$1.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0150.017$1.19+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 20:14Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?BUY0.001$1.00
07-13 18:51Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.001$1.20
07-10 07:51Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?BUY0.002$0.05
07-10 07:40Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?BUY0.84$4.20
07-09 21:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.25$1.25
07-09 12:58GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.002$1.08
07-09 11:42Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?SELL0.089$3.92
07-09 10:10GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?BUY0.005$1.15
07-09 08:12Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?SELL0.998$17.85
07-08 04:18Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?BUY0.026$1.72
07-07 17:13GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.012$2.30
07-07 16:03Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.002$3.99
07-07 15:56Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?SELL0.317$2.55
07-07 15:56Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?BUY0.669$5.28
07-07 15:50Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
Trader ArdillarRabiossa · PolyBot