0x6270Db83B80D60C8BB1c8150ADE76416e1793533-1767600230407
0x6270db83b80d60c8bb1c8150ade76416e1793533
- Realised P&L
- $-98.99
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $2.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.23at 0.880Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$5.97at 0.770Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$4.08at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$4.00at 0.350US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.74at 0.763Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.918 | $1.51 |
| 07-19 20:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6029998095 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 17:05 | Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 18:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $7.07 |
| 04-13 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999821 | $6.41 |
| 04-13 18:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $6.54 |
| 04-13 17:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $7.05 |
| 04-13 17:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $26.10 |
| 04-13 13:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $29.64 |
| 04-13 12:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9899999867 | $28.31 |
| 04-13 12:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $0.98 |
| 04-13 12:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $0.93 |
| 04-07 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $0.86 |
| 04-07 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $1.25 |
| 04-07 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $0.87 |