kreddsso
0x61dc0af9a9a50f6efcc377ba5ab66bac83253d86
- Realised P&L
- $207.73
- Volume
- $50.4k
- Markets traded
- 752
- Open portfolio
- $316.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded752
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $105.62 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 6? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $105.57 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 6? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $105.51 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.25at 0.850Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 21?
- +$4.26at 0.068Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on March 29?
- +$4.26at 0.930Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on April 4?
- +$3.78at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?
- +$3.30at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or higher on March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $105.62 |
| 08-04 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $105.62 |
| 08-04 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $105.62 |
| 07-30 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-30 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 07-30 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 07-30 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $104.45 |
| 07-30 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.57 |
| 07-30 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $34.20 |
| 07-30 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or below on July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 07-29 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 07-29 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or below on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-29 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $199.20 |
| 07-27 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or below on July 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 07-27 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |