tomasiaiesus
0x61c4d38ac22005a67c4b17beda037d7b79d5f5f2
- Realised P&L
- $510.42
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $152.33
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.964 | $49.14 | −$0.18 |
| StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.975 | 0.952 | $46.65 | −$1.13 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.938 | $45.94 | −$0.91 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No | 0.973 | 0.974 | $10.60 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$668.85at 0.350Phillies vs. Nationals
- +$562.03at 0.510Phillies vs. Brewers
- +$509.95at 0.530Royals vs. Guardians
- +$385.20at 0.600Diamondbacks vs. Rangers
- +$378.30at 0.610Blue Jays vs. Marlins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 10:34 | Royals vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.53 | $575.05 |
| 09-03 11:54 | Phillies vs. Brewers | BUY | 0.51 | $584.97 |
| 08-27 07:53 | Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.54 | $590.76 |