eaa9
0x61a8bbd7b7e754186951350b5568c1c977511e7f
- Realised P&L
- $-85.63
- Volume
- $124.5k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $95.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.73at 0.975Will someone else be inaugurated?
- +$0.84at 0.992Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$0.77at 0.985Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
- +$0.72at 0.509Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.40at 0.992Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 09:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 06-26 09:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9989994621 | $1.30 |
| 06-26 09:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.78 |
| 06-26 09:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.37 |
| 06-26 09:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 06-26 08:55 | Will Gabriela Jaquez win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.57 |
| 06-26 08:54 | Will Gianna Kneepkens win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.43 |
| 06-26 08:54 | Will Isobel Borlase win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.12 |
| 06-26 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on June 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.34 |
| 06-26 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.24 |
| 06-26 08:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.9989999868 | $7.89 |
| 06-26 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.26 |
| 05-06 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.9989994621 | $1.30 |
| 05-06 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.9939999971 | $1.37 |
| 05-06 06:57 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.9989994967 | $1.33 |