PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6185ecc8af4c37f81318eae9bd1457032d83e9cf

Realised P&L
$-1.87
Volume
$408.00
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$65.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5560.835$26.72+$8.92
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.4080.165$9.90$14.56
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.958$8.62+$4.12
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8900.935$7.48+$0.36
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8600.885$5.31+$0.15
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7900.875$4.38+$0.42
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.105$1.05$0.35
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2100.125$0.88$0.59
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1100.055$0.66$0.66
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0930.045$0.50$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 17:31U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.89$7.12
07-10 13:12Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.86$4.30
07-01 21:22Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.027$1.08
06-21 03:15Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.86$5.16
06-19 02:20China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$1.40
05-21 21:37Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.11$1.32
05-21 21:37Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$6.16
04-26 16:29Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.907$10.88
04-26 16:29Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.093$1.02
04-22 13:14Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.79$7.90
04-22 13:14Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.21$2.73
04-22 13:14Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.934$6.54
04-22 13:14U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.86$11.18
04-11 16:46Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?BUY0.942$4.71
04-09 16:06Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$5.98