PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

small888

0x6104c2d6a9595fb8f0ea83ee843468055c78f040

Realised P&L
$238.06
Volume
$69.0k
Markets traded
739
Open portfolio
$943.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded739
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:55Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.99$19.80
08-04 14:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.97$5.14
08-04 14:54Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.99$9.90
08-04 14:53Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.99$19.80
08-04 14:53Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 6?BUY0.98$9.80
08-04 05:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?SELL0.136$1.80
08-03 09:06Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.98$4.90
08-03 08:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 5?BUY0.996$39.84
08-03 02:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?SELL0.14$1.40
08-02 06:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 2?SELL0.982$12.09
08-02 00:19Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 2?SELL0.86$6.60
08-01 02:24Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?SELL0.15$0.90
08-01 02:23Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?SELL0.16$1.72
08-01 02:23Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?SELL0.16276$1.63
08-01 02:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1?SELL0.17$0.85