small888
0x6104c2d6a9595fb8f0ea83ee843468055c78f040
- Realised P&L
- $238.06
- Volume
- $69.0k
- Markets traded
- 739
- Open portfolio
- $943.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded739
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.92at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 12?
- +$18.00at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?
- +$16.91at 0.102Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?
- +$15.60at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?
- +$15.00at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-04 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.14 |
| 08-04 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-04 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-04 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.136 | $1.80 |
| 08-03 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-03 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $39.84 |
| 08-03 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.982 | $12.09 |
| 08-02 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.86 | $6.60 |
| 08-01 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.90 |
| 08-01 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.72 |
| 08-01 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.16276 | $1.63 |
| 08-01 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |