doreatha
0x60d19a563bcc0be17036a9f40d7fe0268a4c40a9
- Realised P&L
- $-97.50
- Volume
- $57.7k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $39.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.878 | 0.772 | $21.11 | −$2.89 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.974 | $14.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.960 | 1.000 | $4.17 | +$0.17 |
| Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.51 |
| Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$139.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.00at 0.680US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$13.46at 0.993Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$12.13at 0.540Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
- +$11.74at 0.460Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$11.45at 0.510Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 01:16 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.00 |
| 06-29 01:57 | Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8784509673 | $24.00 |
| 06-29 01:56 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999355 | $14.00 |
| 06-09 07:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $139.00 |
| 06-09 07:39 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $47.96 |
| 06-09 07:39 | Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.5 | $14.08 |
| 06-09 07:38 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.52 |
| 06-03 03:00 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999922 | $16.00 |
| 06-03 03:00 | Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? | BUY | 0.829999956 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 02:59 | Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9311121081 | $22.00 |
| 06-03 02:58 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.6976744186 | $15.00 |
| 06-03 02:57 | Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 02:56 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8089999964 | $40.00 |
| 06-03 02:56 | Will Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana? | BUY | 0.9295958262 | $23.00 |
| 05-26 01:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $85.00 |