0x60713a532bD78E59F9f45C8679cEAC5734d2e933-1775850182531
0x60713a532bd78e59f9f45c8679ceac5734d2e933
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $248.2k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $0.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.28at 0.410Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$146.98at 0.135Will Alex Freeman be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match?
- +$102.85at 0.208Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11?
- +$79.26at 0.500Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$68.14at 0.360Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 11:50 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.88 |
| 08-01 11:31 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.67 |
| 07-29 13:02 | Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 07-29 01:35 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.0010866235 | $0.18 |
| 07-29 01:35 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%? | SELL | 0.001058895 | $0.17 |
| 07-29 01:22 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-28 18:38 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.0611395483 | $7.39 |
| 07-28 18:38 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%? | BUY | 0.0747822922 | $7.60 |
| 07-28 18:17 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.059 | $0.60 |
| 07-28 18:16 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.057 | $3.02 |
| 07-28 18:14 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%? | BUY | 0.0574326019 | $7.69 |
| 07-28 18:13 | Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.056 | $2.30 |
| 07-27 05:48 | Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.952 | $5.52 |
| 07-27 05:48 | Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.97059992 | $48.52 |
| 07-22 11:17 | Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.65 | $51.29 |