ricardo.milos.lumberjack
0x606c2f36101edca5dad6b3f85ee769af0b65f789
- Realised P&L
- $9.04
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $197.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.948 | $51.16 | −$1.54 |
| Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · No | 0.986 | 0.947 | $50.19 | −$2.07 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.978 | $49.85 | −$0.08 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · No | 0.965 | 0.975 | $45.91 | +$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.952Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
- +$1.82at 0.968Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
- +$1.31at 0.935Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$1.30at 0.951Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
- +$1.13at 0.961Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 08:33 | Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.94 |
| 04-15 13:31 | Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.9359999688 | $22.09 |