poopicicle
0x6061a8d13deee7a78be1465acb86d9c30344cdde
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $338.0k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.085 | $2.0k | +$1.8k |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.84 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.10 |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea · South Korea | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.01 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$393.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.99 |
| Phillies vs. Dodgers · Dodgers | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.64 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.09 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins · Boston Red Sox | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$169.18 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$969.03 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela · Japan | 0.626 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.684First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.
- +$406.84at 0.890First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea
- +$388.92at 0.720First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea
- +$293.23at 0.911First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan
- +$257.12at 0.935First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australia
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:01 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.67 | $124.99 |
| 08-02 00:09 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.3799999979 | $70.89 |
| 07-24 01:48 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.041 | $60.77 |
| 07-23 01:45 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.043 | $463.10 |
| 07-22 10:39 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.044 | $3.41 |
| 07-20 01:18 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.042 | $8.53 |
| 07-03 04:58 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.52 |
| 06-18 22:24 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0056197588 | $166.50 |
| 06-12 09:06 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $969.03 |
| 06-11 10:10 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999994 | $32.21 |
| 06-11 10:08 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $343.69 |
| 06-11 10:07 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.053 | $388.33 |
| 06-11 10:05 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $441.00 |
| 06-11 10:00 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 04:39 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.2k |