yaut666
0x5fdb3d8a19adc33ec094d66409efa961102166c8
- Realised P&L
- $-7.98
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $499.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.53at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$9.14at 0.686Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$4.29at 0.700Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
- +$2.26at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
- +$2.17at 0.480XRP Up or Down on November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9989999989 | $470.00 |
| 08-04 00:38 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 00:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 03:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999677 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 03:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $450.00 |
| 06-19 02:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.9979999973 | $280.00 |
| 06-19 02:05 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 06-10 02:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $485.00 |
| 06-07 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.00 |
| 06-07 01:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $480.00 |
| 05-27 02:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $420.00 |
| 05-27 02:50 | Citrea FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.998999901 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 01:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 01:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 01:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $400.00 |