uijuutzug87g8i
0x5f0963e6e22f007a751ac7008d5af8f690baed1e
- Realised P&L
- $24.87
- Volume
- $342.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $17.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.850 | $17.00 | +$2.20 |
| Will Draško Stanivuković be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.009 | $0.02 | −$0.13 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18? · Up | 0.137 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.00at 0.982Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.66at 0.330U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
- +$0.18at 0.850MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.972Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 12:48 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $18.7k |
| 05-19 12:31 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $18.7k |
| 05-19 12:08 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $18.7k |
| 05-19 11:18 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $18.7k |
| 05-19 09:54 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $18.7k |
| 05-19 09:28 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $18.7k |
| 05-19 09:13 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $18.7k |
| 05-19 07:56 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $18.7k |
| 05-19 07:23 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $18.7k |
| 05-18 19:46 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18? | BUY | 0.1369999895 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 19:45 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.9719995529 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 19:44 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.9719995529 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 19:44 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 19:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.0469999569 | $1.00 |