cubsy
0x5edac84d3078a6de72d8c67aa6495d3ff095d453
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $223.9k
- Markets traded
- 637
- Open portfolio
- $756.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded637
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.948 | $395.70 | +$7.51 |
| Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes | 0.330 | 0.620 | $111.60 | +$52.20 |
| Will Palantir say "Apollo" during earnings call? · No | 0.420 | 0.620 | $109.42 | +$35.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.065 | $68.54 | −$98.68 |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.220 | $35.31 | −$3.98 |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.024 | $18.48 | +$8.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.015 | $15.50 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.64at 0.178Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$303.91at 0.833Will Trump say "Hanukkah" this week? (December 1 - 7)
- +$281.52at 0.300Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ?
- +$262.93at 0.904Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$189.76at 0.717Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1877138517 | $132.24 |
| 08-02 18:49 | Will Palantir say "Apollo" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.42 | $74.13 |
| 07-29 20:03 | Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $388.19 |
| 07-29 19:52 | Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | BUY | 0.33 | $59.40 |
| 07-29 19:26 | Will James Murray be in the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.9939248853 | $396.57 |
| 07-29 19:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.77 |
| 07-29 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.7606951872 | $56.90 |
| 07-29 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.0104415439 | $4.02 |
| 07-29 11:34 | Will Darren Jones be in the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.9986127136 | $431.38 |
| 07-29 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.0255242257 | $3.65 |
| 07-28 14:43 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.42 | $23.10 |
| 07-28 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.0106357856 | $0.59 |
| 07-28 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.0069641892 | $1.47 |
| 07-28 13:00 | Will Trump post "Lindsey" or "Graham" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.6536427796 | $36.12 |
| 07-28 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.10 |