fc.eircccc
0x5e705a3b69dba858f67842b4d29b56f19277c53e
- Realised P&L
- $-112.55
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $17.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.91at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$21.82at 0.262Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
- +$11.54at 0.360Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?
- +$11.23at 0.200Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?
- +$6.54at 0.214Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-04 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $0.73 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.08 |
| 08-04 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $7.83 |
| 08-04 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.269 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.53 |
| 08-04 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.93 |
| 08-04 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.10 |
| 08-04 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.38 |
| 08-03 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.70 |
| 08-03 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.14 |
| 08-03 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.21 |
| 08-03 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.85 |
| 08-03 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.33 |
| 08-03 13:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |