rchuwei
0x5def468d3e49012b91222870311c0c567a541283
- Realised P&L
- $136.29
- Volume
- $109.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,811
- Open portfolio
- $453.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,811
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration2.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$273.53at 0.166Will the highest temperature in New York City be 22°F or higher on January 25?
- +$250.10at 0.166Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 26?
- +$250.05at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Miami be 80°F or higher on January 25?
- +$246.36at 0.167Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 27?
- +$193.73at 0.068Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 44°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |