0x5Dc978a47D28F2dCdC2B2C8fFC4e3d4E343B1D9E-1756931267357
0x5dc978a47d28f2dcdc2b2c8ffc4e3d4e343b1d9e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $96.5k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $48.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.019 | $16.43 | −$1.07 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.042 | $16.14 | −$18.86 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.011 | $10.01 | −$5.99 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.006 | $6.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · No | 0.157 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.71at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7AM ET
- +$19.60at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 8AM ET
- +$17.36at 0.530Solana Up or Down - September 13, 8AM ET
- +$12.43at 0.749Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1AM ET
- +$12.17at 0.210Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 16:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.1189682266 | $41.19 |
| 08-01 16:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.15 | $42.98 |
| 08-01 03:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.1221476482 | $35.00 |
| 07-31 21:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.14 |
| 07-31 21:36 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? | BUY | 0.0207729094 | $17.50 |
| 07-31 21:36 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July? | BUY | 0.0173294125 | $16.00 |
| 07-31 21:36 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? | BUY | 0.0183881519 | $16.00 |
| 07-31 21:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.1569020782 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 17:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.2469999964 | $35.70 |
| 07-31 17:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.0899999979 | $35.00 |
| 06-15 15:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0066445569 | $9.47 |
| 06-15 15:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0128178317 | $16.01 |
| 06-15 15:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1012755774 | $84.64 |
| 06-14 03:19 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0027425686 | $4.80 |
| 06-13 15:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1663264579 | $139.00 |