0x5db5a149B62096bF02114e5Bdfc4553DDF14057F-1773246814229
0x5db5a149b62096bf02114e5bdfc4553ddf14057f
- Realised P&L
- $95.95
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $9.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $9.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.04at 0.104Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$46.15at 0.520Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
- +$27.85at 0.270Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$12.91at 0.148Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$11.26at 0.120Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:38 | Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 14:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 05-13 08:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | BUY | 0.1699999971 | $45.00 |
| 04-27 08:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | SELL | 0.1 | $17.06 |
| 04-26 09:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | BUY | 0.1699999955 | $28.01 |
| 04-15 10:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | SELL | 0.19 | $30.55 |
| 04-12 15:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $18.59 |
| 04-08 18:37 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2312888129 | $25.70 |
| 04-01 10:29 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 03-29 07:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | SELL | 0.244 | $32.91 |
| 03-29 07:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | SELL | 0.5206300063 | $57.85 |
| 03-26 13:04 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.1483012786 | $20.00 |
| 03-26 13:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 03-25 17:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $30.00 |
| 03-23 12:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.4406744623 | $211.04 |