kotova220
0x5da75054957f9eb05095224848ea8aac63269368
- Realised P&L
- $-96.34
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $59.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $59.21 | +$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$507.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 19?
- +$493.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on July 23?
- +$481.05at 0.550Orioles vs. Guardians
- +$455.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 29?
- +$439.04at 0.510Cavaliers vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 11:51 | Solana Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $455.00 |
| 07-25 07:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BUY | 0.49 | $514.99 |
| 07-24 12:50 | Blue Jays vs. Tigers | BUY | 0.54 | $583.74 |
| 07-22 07:54 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 23? | BUY | 0.5 | $493.00 |
| 07-21 08:56 | Orioles vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.55 | $587.95 |
| 07-18 11:45 | Solana Up or Down on July 19? | BUY | 0.5 | $507.00 |
| 07-10 13:11 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.51 | $456.96 |
| 07-02 10:00 | Twins vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.46 | $421.82 |
| 05-13 12:03 | Solana above $190 on May 16? | BUY | 0.86 | $967.50 |