0x5d0f8f296aF15d73C33F6C6202ffF74709Fb085C-1767807238540
0x5d0f8f296af15d73c33f6c6202fff74709fb085c
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $101.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,086
- Open portfolio
- $18.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,086
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.29at 0.142Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?
- +$142.01at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 31?
- +$129.02at 0.127Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?
- +$83.16at 0.297Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
- +$82.32at 0.192Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.85 | $48.88 |
| 08-04 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5961156152 | $35.00 |
| 08-04 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6823873984 | $35.00 |
| 08-04 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.56 |
| 08-04 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.64 | $5.17 |
| 08-04 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.63 | $4.41 |
| 08-04 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-04 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 08-04 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.58 | $10.44 |
| 08-04 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5787849016 | $22.00 |
| 08-04 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6271139513 | $22.00 |
| 08-04 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $35.00 |
| 08-04 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6871747295 | $35.00 |
| 08-04 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.82 | $17.83 |