SP888
0x5d05b1f588780423488a09d9aefeb64df54d6320
- Realised P&L
- $8.8k
- Volume
- $91.87M
- Markets traded
- 439
- Open portfolio
- $31.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded439
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.001US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$5.0kat 0.052US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.7kat 0.889Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
- +$1.5kat 0.001Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.766US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 21:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | BUY | 0.936 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 15:18 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.09 |
| 07-21 15:17 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $4.83 |
| 05-29 02:51 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? | SELL | 0.0688 | $1.72 |
| 05-29 02:51 | Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.901 | $6.72 |
| 05-21 19:49 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | SELL | 0.8805650983 | $35.37 |
| 05-14 00:55 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.30 |
| 05-14 00:55 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.41 |
| 05-14 00:53 | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.28 |
| 05-14 00:53 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.55 |
| 05-14 00:53 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.068 | $2.09 |
| 05-13 00:18 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 05-12 18:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.00 |
| 05-12 09:22 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.086 | $0.10 |
| 05-12 09:21 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.11 |