Solacean-0508
0x5ce3a65286b3c12d67531360a4b355766fcd2ad0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.60
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,544
- Open portfolio
- $180.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,544
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.909Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 10?
- +$1.86at 0.907Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?
- +$1.76at 0.890Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$1.70at 0.919Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
- +$1.68at 0.920Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-03 23:34 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 08-03 23:34 | Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 08-03 23:11 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.91 | $19.11 |
| 08-03 23:11 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.95 |
| 08-03 23:11 | Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-03 23:11 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:11 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:11 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-03 23:11 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.963 | $19.26 |
| 08-03 21:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 08-03 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-03 20:37 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 19:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 08-03 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |