0x5C6e54A0657D0159B993D17470C749DeC1bB0617-1764742279431
0x5c6e54a0657d0159b993d17470c749dec1bb0617
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.998Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$2.3kat 0.270Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.561Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
- +$1.7kat 0.390Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.444Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.0644215901 | $103.07 |
| 08-03 17:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.6 | $137.50 |
| 08-03 13:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $172.77 |
| 08-03 13:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6247388522 | $559.43 |
| 08-03 13:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5888769597 | $262.18 |
| 08-03 02:54 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.4189157566 | $537.05 |
| 08-01 05:58 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $81.25 |
| 07-31 13:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.61 | $393.91 |
| 07-31 02:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $229.95 |
| 07-29 06:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2243721403 | $285.89 |
| 07-27 17:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.5978032244 | $1.0k |
| 07-26 05:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.23 | $253.00 |
| 07-24 15:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.028 | $29.22 |
| 07-22 02:02 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.14 |
| 07-21 17:13 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3123333333 | $93.70 |