PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sergiialvares

0x5c55279554d9c0b1025516b42c50ab83d8b0ddfb

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$173.9k
Markets traded
2,226
Open portfolio
$94.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,226
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.3880.365$70.87$4.37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? · Yes0.6000.590$11.80$0.20
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.0760.045$9.37$6.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3? · Yes0.0170.004$1.25$4.68
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 3? · Yes0.0970.007$0.45$5.76
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3? · Yes0.5950.010$0.30$17.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.5150.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.4050.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.7200.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:19Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.3865432099$31.31
08-03 06:14Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.39$36.33
08-03 06:13Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.38$7.60
08-03 06:09Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.6$12.00
08-03 05:54Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.07$1.40
08-03 05:53Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.08$1.60
08-03 05:52Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.08$8.50
08-03 05:52Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.07$0.36
08-02 22:23Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 3?BUY0.1359414991$2.97
08-02 22:22Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3?BUY0.65$6.50
08-02 22:22Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3?BUY0.64$3.72
08-02 20:17Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 3?BUY0.0827578599$3.00
08-02 20:04Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.0168366814$1.03
08-02 17:21Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3?SELL0.44$28.60
08-02 17:20Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.02$3.90