Sergiialvares
0x5c55279554d9c0b1025516b42c50ab83d8b0ddfb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $173.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,226
- Open portfolio
- $94.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,226
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$505.41at 0.322Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$190.49at 0.197Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 8?
- +$164.96at 0.368Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 3?
- +$132.58at 0.150Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 7?
- +$129.10at 0.900Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3865432099 | $31.31 |
| 08-03 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.39 | $36.33 |
| 08-03 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-03 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-03 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-03 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.50 |
| 08-03 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.36 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1359414991 | $2.97 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.72 |
| 08-02 20:17 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0827578599 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0168366814 | $1.03 |
| 08-02 17:21 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.44 | $28.60 |
| 08-02 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.90 |