0x5c2e3ebe1c20fd8455782ea1c0adacb94f05af0c
- Realised P&L
- $16.17
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $103.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.325 | $24.20 | −$10.80 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox | 0.540 | 0.535 | $19.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.205 | $18.98 | −$6.02 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.115 | $12.32 | −$2.68 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.500 | 0.465 | $9.30 | −$0.70 |
| Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper · Jack Draper | 0.680 | 0.675 | $7.94 | −$0.06 |
| Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulp · Botic van de Zandschulp | 0.560 | 0.555 | $6.26 | −$0.06 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.588 | 0.555 | $4.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.96at 0.186Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.55at 0.630Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$17.61at 0.460Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?
- +$10.42at 0.590Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
- +$8.67at 0.480Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:42 | Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.5599999752 | $6.32 |
| 08-04 02:40 | Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper | BUY | 0.6799999966 | $8.00 |
| 07-28 02:03 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 02:02 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.4499999887 | $8.00 |
| 07-28 02:02 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5099999966 | $6.00 |
| 07-28 01:13 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins | SELL | 0.92 | $18.85 |
| 07-28 00:49 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.8899999954 | $7.66 |
| 07-27 01:29 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 07-27 01:28 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.6099999988 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 08:37 | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.2699999938 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 08:36 | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.4699999936 | $35.00 |
| 07-26 08:15 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 07-26 08:11 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 08:10 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 08:08 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |