0x5c26717843e87c917a1aaaa349ed3800617b0b31
- Realised P&L
- $-538.34
- Volume
- $129.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,015
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,015
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.14at 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$15.35at 0.355Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET
- +$15.28at 0.048TikTok sale announced in 2025?
- +$14.99at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$14.02at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3137254902 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $4.84 |
| 08-04 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $4.81 |
| 08-04 13:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-04 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-04 10:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-04 10:51 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-03 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.4199999816 | $6.39 |
| 08-03 09:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.02 |
| 08-03 08:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-02 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.42 |
| 08-02 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-02 18:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-02 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-02 16:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |