bigceohiko
0x5b7bd967ec840d478211fe282f5262cd56815116
- Realised P&L
- $-41.03
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $111.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?
- +$2.89at 0.300Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
- +$2.77at 0.491Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$2.77at 0.286Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
- +$2.52at 0.500Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:14 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.62 |
| 08-04 00:08 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.43 |
| 08-04 00:03 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5999999016 | $1.22 |
| 08-04 00:03 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8799995649 | $1.78 |
| 08-03 21:54 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | BUY | 0.3799998441 | $1.17 |
| 08-03 21:48 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.33 |
| 08-03 14:04 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.4599998826 | $1.41 |
| 08-03 02:44 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2599998921 | $1.35 |
| 08-03 02:35 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.3099998974 | $1.36 |
| 08-03 00:12 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999411 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 23:58 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.4099999056 | $1.26 |
| 08-02 14:44 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5599998625 | $1.14 |
| 08-02 12:37 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | BUY | 0.6699995911 | $1.36 |
| 08-02 12:11 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 04:29 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | BUY | 0.889999967 | $1.35 |