PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

esilveira

0x5b631051d2fc3bf81b3cc6c36495ba8e3e0319d1

Realised P&L
$-228.22
Volume
$130.1k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$221.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1260.076$153.00$98.50
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.003$58.83$114.77
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0180.002$9.00$99.00
Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0060.064$0.32+$0.29
Will Partido Novo (NOVO) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0030.004$0.03+$0.00
Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0040.004$0.03+$0.00
Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0030.004$0.02+$0.00
Will Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0030.004$0.02+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Down0.1070.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Up0.0270.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 04:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.2283065929$100.00
07-02 03:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.0299999943$5.00
07-02 03:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.4899999916$25.00
07-02 03:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.2799999731$5.00
07-02 03:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.45$4.59
07-02 03:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
07-02 03:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.2799999731$5.00
07-02 03:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
07-02 03:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.1$5.00
07-02 03:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-02 03:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
07-02 03:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.23$15.97
07-02 02:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.0831792825$5.00
07-02 02:56Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.149999976$5.00
07-02 02:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.3599999931$25.00