nightcity2077
0x5b45946c1ddec3ecd71a1ebcfca283af9967362b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $2.79M
- Markets traded
- 3,538
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,538
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No | 0.916 | 0.611 | $1.6k | −$782.72 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.625 | $1.3k | −$369.35 |
| National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic · Miomir Kecmanovic | 0.380 | 0.410 | $34.91 | +$2.55 |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) · Sentinels | 0.660 | 1.000 | $13.99 | +$4.75 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves | 0.380 | 0.495 | $4.20 | +$0.98 |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega · Sentinels | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$2.40 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.278 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$8.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.7kat 0.527England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$12.0kat 0.027Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$10.9kat 0.286Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$5.9kat 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.7kat 0.574Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:29 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.06 | $2.42 |
| 08-03 00:00 | Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | BUY | 0.66 | $9.24 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | BUY | 0.01 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 22:25 | Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $4.82 |
| 08-02 22:24 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.21 | $1.95 |
| 08-02 21:32 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.16 | $11.95 |
| 08-02 21:24 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.76 | $23.11 |
| 08-02 21:24 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.6914285714 | $48.40 |
| 08-02 21:10 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.338020194 | $17.07 |
| 08-02 21:09 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.01 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 21:06 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.8167553537 | $12.59 |
| 08-02 20:51 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.14 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 20:41 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.65 | $10.47 |
| 08-02 20:40 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.24 | $3.39 |
| 08-02 20:34 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.12 | $1.53 |