0x59bb99b8dda19e2014657a230a99eef325be6d65
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $190.6k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $43.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.028 | $15.60 | −$13.45 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.009 | $13.97 | −$14.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.004 | $7.54 | −$20.46 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.008 | $5.33 | −$22.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$917.07at 0.164France vs. England: England O/U 2.5
- +$767.78at 0.133Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$622.73at 0.431France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$522.74at 0.430Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$336.94at 0.263Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0521563366 | $29.05 |
| 08-03 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0420214381 | $28.00 |
| 08-03 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0180354267 | $28.00 |
| 08-03 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0129999995 | $28.00 |
| 07-20 23:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.0111041901 | $29.62 |
| 07-20 23:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0113900423 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0253960165 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0599999976 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.1851694854 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.4778751186 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.0138158883 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.0141861119 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.0162012524 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.0250301883 | $23.00 |
| 07-20 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.1 | $23.00 |