ibou27
0x59ab23c657823ca35cb2955253200b1ef7b0c0d2
- Realised P&L
- $-257.96
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $36.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.285 | $36.17 | −$13.34 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 27? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No | 0.707 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 5+ shots · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.72 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.01 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.512 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.52at 0.222Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 24?
- +$68.21at 0.190Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots
- +$68.11at 0.405Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 21?
- +$35.05at 0.928Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?
- +$29.12at 0.940Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $49.52 |
| 08-04 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.29 |
| 08-04 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.70 |
| 08-04 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1428571429 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1354593084 | $3.88 |
| 08-04 08:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.43 | $58.63 |
| 08-03 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4730104456 | $64.50 |
| 08-03 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.7740909091 | $51.09 |
| 08-03 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7431511659 | $70.53 |
| 08-02 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3961601809 | $51.35 |
| 08-01 17:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0787127844 | $6.17 |
| 08-01 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.2195856444 | $6.73 |
| 08-01 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $19.92 |
| 08-01 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.045063314 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.3529915334 | $26.27 |