dearts
0x591c8ba561759dbfa1e45eff487457cd3fa9390d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $60.6k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $65.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.365 | $65.70 | −$76.50 |
| Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.08 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 27 be less than 2,100,000? · No | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.92 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball · Paris Basketball | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$248.86 |
| Will "Ninja" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$739.26 |
| Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12PM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.62 |
| Will Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$613.12at 0.350Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$307.75at 0.440Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?
- +$142.32at 0.760Will Melania say "Peace" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
- +$97.89at 0.190Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
- +$62.49at 0.150Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:08 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $521.70 |
| 04-23 12:11 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $521.70 |
| 04-11 16:50 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $820.02 |
| 04-10 14:40 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $861.54 |
| 04-09 13:50 | Canada recession before 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $36.60 |
| 04-09 12:39 | ByteDance IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $600.60 |
| 04-09 11:33 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $12.53 |
| 04-08 12:54 | ByteDance IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $593.45 |
| 03-29 14:03 | Will "Ninja" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final? | BUY | 0.74 | $739.26 |
| 03-24 13:13 | Will Melania say "Peace" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24? | BUY | 0.76 | $450.68 |
| 03-21 20:10 | Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.31 | $67.89 |
| 03-20 19:47 | Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $105.12 |
| 03-20 17:11 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.14 | $83.86 |
| 03-19 14:57 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $71.40 |
| 03-18 14:55 | Canada recession before 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $37.21 |