455454458
0x58d9789f32402a07e100c40125c244e8c58423f3
- Realised P&L
- $-855.03
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,497
- Open portfolio
- $726.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,497
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$394.96at 0.008Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
- +$298.15at 0.014Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
- +$265.02at 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$152.85at 0.020Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$138.42at 0.010Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 19:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $7.09 |
| 06-22 15:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | SELL | 0.46 | $24.32 |
| 06-10 17:19 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.86 |
| 06-10 17:19 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.71 |
| 03-04 16:07 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 03-03 12:02 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.114 | $11.40 |
| 03-01 00:53 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.081 | $27.42 |
| 03-01 00:53 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.919 | $91.90 |
| 02-21 13:12 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.111 | $12.01 |
| 02-21 00:56 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.065 | $4.58 |
| 02-20 12:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.064 | $6.40 |
| 02-18 16:12 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $34.88 |
| 02-12 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.068 | $0.78 |
| 02-07 07:47 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.318 | $31.80 |
| 02-06 15:04 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.318 | $31.80 |