PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

455454458

0x58d9789f32402a07e100c40125c244e8c58423f3

Realised P&L
$-855.03
Volume
$1.32M
Markets traded
1,497
Open portfolio
$726.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,497
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? · No0.6200.635$153.79+$3.73
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · Yes0.7000.705$150.81+$1.14
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · Yes0.4090.405$148.63$1.37
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · Yes0.2510.195$56.98$16.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? · Yes0.1120.115$51.75+$1.43
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · Yes0.1000.085$51.00$9.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · No0.3400.365$47.46+$3.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes0.2100.195$46.43$3.57
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9790.978$13.67$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.974$2.94+$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · Yes0.0320.042$2.67+$0.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1400.195$0.45+$0.13
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 20-26? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 20-26? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 19:08Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.96$7.09
06-22 15:23Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?SELL0.46$24.32
06-10 17:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.94$1.86
06-10 17:19Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?SELL0.81$1.71
03-04 16:07Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.03$3.00
03-03 12:02Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.114$11.40
03-01 00:53Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL0.081$27.42
03-01 00:53Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.919$91.90
02-21 13:12Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.111$12.01
02-21 00:56Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.065$4.58
02-20 12:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.064$6.40
02-18 16:12Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL0.96$34.88
02-12 04:24Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.068$0.78
02-07 07:47Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.318$31.80
02-06 15:04Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.318$31.80