BrunoL23
0x588adb88fb2d265941a311e8ff34729762fae237
- Realised P&L
- $-49.59
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $43.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.930 | 0.696 | $13.91 | −$4.69 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.025 | $10.16 | +$0.56 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $5.02 | +$1.00 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.042 | $4.57 | +$0.60 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.019 | $3.90 | −$4.90 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.033 | $2.92 | −$16.67 |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $2.00 | +$0.40 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.091 | $0.92 | −$1.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.63at 0.321Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$8.44at 0.640Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
- +$4.62at 0.024Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$4.30at 0.169Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
- +$3.70at 0.730Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 09:29 | Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.37 |
| 04-14 09:08 | Will Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? | SELL | 0.988 | $4.09 |
| 04-03 08:45 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.923 | $0.42 |
| 04-03 08:43 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.60 |
| 04-03 08:41 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.024 | $6.67 |
| 03-28 13:39 | Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.60 |
| 03-28 13:27 | Will Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? | BUY | 0.9639998882 | $4.00 |
| 03-20 09:34 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.22 | $15.40 |
| 03-17 11:56 | Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.74 | $11.10 |
| 03-15 22:09 | Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | SELL | 0.88 | $9.88 |
| 03-15 21:51 | Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | SELL | 0.244 | $3.05 |
| 03-15 21:25 | Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $18.08 |
| 03-15 21:24 | Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.6699999968 | $4.22 |
| 03-15 21:24 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 03-15 21:19 | Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |