0x58781f1a324daf82cc935a916f8d89e680cdaa7a
- Realised P&L
- $-49.33
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 249
- Open portfolio
- $299.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded249
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $99.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $70.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $49.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $40.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 4? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $39.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.19at 0.347Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$6.18at 0.890Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
- +$1.30at 0.982William & Mary Tribe vs. UNCW Seahawks (W)
- +$1.28at 0.940Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 13:49 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 13:48 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 13:48 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $40.00 |
| 07-29 02:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 02:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.998999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 02:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 12:55 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 12:54 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 12:53 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 07-24 12:19 | Will Solana reach $140 in July? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 12:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |