IceLightning
0x58641dbd9128db522f206285343b79aae8c976b9
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $861.0k
- Markets traded
- 6,755
- Open portfolio
- $15.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,755
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$924.84at 0.402Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?
- +$690.97at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$669.99at 0.581XRP Up or Down - April 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$630.94at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$584.81at 0.478Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 16:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.161 | $6.44 |
| 07-06 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 07-06 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $6.28 |
| 07-06 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 07-06 15:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 07-06 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $8.86 |
| 07-06 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2461866023 | $19.37 |
| 07-06 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.13 |
| 07-06 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.16 | $14.21 |
| 07-06 14:25 | XRP Up or Down - July 6, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.0658275 | $2.63 |
| 07-06 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.94 |
| 07-06 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 07-06 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.98 |
| 07-06 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $4.60 |
| 07-06 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $3.93 |